Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 23.745642 27.468649 31.502525 36.187620 41.468555 47.225859 53.966204
2025-01-12 16.704565 21.660400 27.563701 35.063605 44.282793 55.186261 68.992949
2025-01-19 12.276040 17.492197 24.203823 33.361125 45.401412 60.549831 80.885175
2025-01-26 10.679234 16.408566 24.243586 35.541398 51.176933 71.780550 100.655780
2025-02-02 9.832609 16.107136 25.138824 38.772618 58.447016 85.358024 124.388918
2025-02-09 8.474649 14.782537 24.325574 39.377792 61.976086 93.984058 141.906334
2025-02-16 7.241681 13.416718 23.211539 39.310963 64.385448 101.056533 157.570574
2025-02-23 6.171697 12.121864 21.998674 38.879983 66.093330 107.093894 171.984721
2025-03-02 5.328871 11.067486 21.012331 38.644087 67.989390 113.426982 187.107322
2025-03-09 4.620140 10.131391 20.087497 38.367315 69.723374 119.533932 202.150865
2025-03-16 3.743377 8.720597 18.133762 36.088665 67.907776 119.859450 208.122824
2025-03-23 3.408271 8.330786 17.982813 36.948967 71.417090 128.889327 228.334629
2025-03-30 3.177142 8.153168 18.270747 38.749293 76.903291 141.847425 256.246188
2025-04-06 2.678636 7.307253 17.153494 37.823709 77.522941 146.809062 271.511760
2025-04-13 2.185375 6.366409 15.698412 36.055482 76.409604 148.681216 281.660632
2025-04-20 2.096347 6.385282 16.272400 38.398367 83.184080 164.761485 317.038760
2025-04-27 2.092092 6.618284 17.340850 41.855705 92.347178 185.617036 361.800563
2025-05-04 1.889521 6.288162 17.092999 42.503008 96.043534 196.769881 389.993209
2025-05-11 1.667733 5.856444 16.545022 42.431669 98.276058 205.328888 413.951258
2025-05-18 1.453998 5.397618 15.861249 41.971024 99.648959 212.316198 435.356408
2025-05-25 1.278721 5.012197 15.300240 41.718866 101.414322 220.120362 458.624258
2025-06-01 1.123852 4.652588 14.749810 41.422993 103.044519 227.727744 481.868347
2025-06-08 0.906559 4.024253 13.380247 38.986378 99.792375 225.488996 486.254362